
March

David Zilberman
Distinguished Professor | Agricultural and Resource Economics | UC Berkeley | Member, US
National Academy of Science | Wolf Prize Laureate
Climate Change and Agriculture – Challenges and Opportunities
Climate change continues to intensify with the ongoing emission of greenhouse gases, posing both a threat and an opportunity for agriculture. As global temperatures rise and climatic zones shift from the equator toward the poles, regions experience profound changes. Canada, for instance, is warming and can cultivate crops like soybeans, while Texas is facing declining agricultural productivity. Climate change also increases the likelihood of extreme weather events such as droughts, and floods, increased snowmelt and rising sea levels.
Humanity must adapt- changing crops and agricultural practices to better suit evolving conditions. While some productivity may be lost in equatorial regions, gains in higher latitudes may partially offset these losses. Research and development can also generate innovations to mitigate climate impacts. However, some regions will suffer. Farmers in Mexico who lose their livelihoods are unlikely to relocate to distant countries like Canada. In many cases, adapting to climate change will require relocation—both within and across national borders.
Adaptive strategies can maintain or even enhance agricultural productivity. In both the US and Europe, production has shifted without significant productivity losses. Transitions from one crop to another are often accompanied by the adoption of new technologies, crop varieties, and pest control methods. In the US, adaptation has included changes in land use, the expansion of precision farming, improved irrigation systems, and enhanced processing infrastructure.
Unfortunately, many of the regions most vulnerable to climate change—particularly in developing countries—lack the technology and institutional capacity needed to adapt. To minimize widespread displacement and food insecurity, the international community must step in with support, funding, and capacity-building efforts to help the Global South respond to climate challenges.
Moreover, climate change represents a critical threat that demands our most advanced technological tools. The 20th century brought transformative advances in breeding technologies—including GMOs and CRISPR—that are both safe and capable of increasing yields while reducing input use and greenhouse gas emissions. Regulatory barriers to these technologies should be eased to facilitate their wider adoption. As these tools are implemented, they improve through learning-by-doing. Precision agriculture technologies can further boost yields and reduce environmental impact through better data and more accurate application techniques. Public-private collaboration is essential to identify the right technologies for different regions and to support farmers in adopting them.
Finally, climate change also presents income opportunities through carbon sequestration. Trees, plants, and soil absorb carbon dioxide, while farm residues can be repurposed into biofuels or biochar—both of which support decarbonization. To fully realize these opportunities and address climate-related risks, governments must enact policies that encourage technology adoption and compensate carbon sequestration efforts at both national and international levels.
The great challenge of our time is not merely to endure the climate crisis, but to actively overcome it—through innovation, cooperation, and a commitment to sustainable progress.